000
FXUS62 KTBW 200606
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
206 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 159 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

After a very warm and dry end to the week, a change in the weather
pattern is in sight. Sunday night into Monday a cold front
associated with an upper level disturbance will move over the area.
This cold front will bring some rain, however best chances look to
be for area north of I4. Behind the front a weak high pressure
builds over FL. Dry and slightly cooler air will then filter into
the area, bringing relief from the widespread 90s. The dry
conditions will stick around through the week, however the cool
temperatures will not. By mid week upper 80s return, with the 90s
making a comeback by Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 159 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

VFR conditions prevail. Light and variable winds overnight will give
way to bay and seabreeze winds by the afternoon. Some patchy,
localized fog is also possible around sunrise for areas that are
prone to have fog. However, this should lift by mid morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 159 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

No major marine concerns as high pressure continues to dominate.
Light and variable overnight winds turn onshore by afternoon but
should remain 10kts or lower. A cold front will approach the waters
SUnday night into Monday. Isolated thunderstorms possible,
especially along the nature coast.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 159 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

RH values remain low through the Sunday morning, only rising Sunday
into Monday as a cold front brings some moisture and possibly rain.
However, following the cold front, dry air moves back in, dropping
RH values critically low through the week. Winds should remain below
RFW criteria.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  86  69  84  70 /   0   0   0  20
FMY  89  69  86  70 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  92  67  88  67 /  10   0   0  20
SRQ  86  68  85  70 /   0   0   0  10
BKV  87  61  85  63 /   0   0   0  30
SPG  84  72  82  72 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Pearce
DECISION SUPPORT...Wynn
NWS TBW Office Area Forecast Discussion